Who’s the best waiver wire add?
Which Titans RB will help you more in fantasy football in Week 11 and the rest of this season: Adrian Peterson or D’Onta Foreman? PFN fantasy analysts Jason Katz and B.J. Rudell couldn’t disagree more. Now, they’re going to tell you why and why it matters for your fantasy team.
Why Adrian Peterson is the Titans’ best fantasy RB
Argument for Adrian Peterson provided by PFN Fantasy Analyst Jason Katz.
Prior to last week’s game, there were pregame reports that Foreman would see increased work. It seems like the reaction in the fantasy community is suffering from a bit of confirmation bias. Foreman carried the ball 11 times for 30 yards. What exactly are we getting excited about here? Peterson had 8 carries for 21 yards. The two were equally inefficient.
Foreman played 21 snaps to Peterson’s 20. There was no deliberate effort by the Titans to push Foreman. This is a three-person backfield with Jeremy McNichols. The only differentiating factor among these three backs would be that Peterson is the clear guy at the goal line.
My guess as to why Foreman is being pushed as a pickup is due to his receiving work. Foreman caught 2 balls for 48 yards. Fantasy managers certainly wouldn’t decline those stats. But are they repeatable? Peterson actually ran 3 more routes than Foreman. There was no increase in Foreman’s passing-game work. He just happened to break off a nice run after the catch on one of his targets.
Going forward, I’m not particularly excited about any Titans running back. However, if forced to choose one, I’d go with old man Peterson. He’s been completely washed for half a decade now, but clearly, Tennessee doesn’t agree. With no one in this backfield particularly efficient, we’re just chasing touchdowns. If anyone is going to fall into the end zone, it’s Peterson.
Why D’Onta Foreman is the Titans’ best fantasy RB
Argument for D’Onta Foreman provided by PFN Fantasy Director BJ Rudell.
AP’s and Foreman’s fantasy outlooks have been a source of stimulating debate here at PFN, as I’m sure it has been in your home or office or place of worship. I have a lot of respect for Katz, but he’s completely wrong when it comes to Tennessee’s backfield.
As I’ve written ever since Derrick Henry was sidelined, Foreman is the only RB in Tennessee’s backfield with bell-cow chops. Peterson has averaged just under 3 yards per carry in his last 16 NFL games (153 rushes for 512 yards). McNichols is a solid role player, and not much more.
But Foreman entered the league in 2017 as a bell-cow-in-waiting — a third-round pick drafted to eventually lead the Texans’ backfield. Injuries wreaked havoc on his career. Yet, he remains the best RB in Tennessee not named Derrick. Sunday’s opponent, the Saints, boast the league’s top run defense (3.1 ypc), yet Foreman was first on the team in touches and second in receiving yards. He is easily more talented than Peterson at this stage of their respective careers.
So yes, I remain bullish about Foreman as an RB3+. And with Houston on deck in Week 11, fantasy managers would be wise to add him and roll the dice if you don’t have a more surefire RB3+ to plug in.