Who wins in Week 12?
The New York Jets will travel to NRG Stadium for a matchup against the Houston Texans in Week 12. This game features two of the worst teams in the NFL, as they’ve combined for a 4-16 record this season. With that being said, Houston owns a 2-1 record when Tyrod Taylor plays a full game. Let’s look at the NFL odds, along with a pick and prediction for the Jets vs. Texans matchup.
New York Jets vs. Houston Texans pick, prediction | Week 12
- Spread: Texans -2.5 (Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Moneyline: Jets +120, Texans -140
- Over/Under: 45
Jets quarterback situation
The Jets have one of the odder quarterback situations in the NFL. Their main option is No. 2 overall pick Zach Wilson, who’s struggled quite a bit as a rookie. He was injured in Week 7, and New York doesn’t seem keen on bringing him back before they’re confident he’s 100% ready. Wilson has reportedly looked great while working out, although he’s still listed as questionable. The decision on his status is expected to be made on Wednesday.
When Wilson was injured, Mike White slid into the starting lineup. He flashed with over 400 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions in an upset win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Outside of that game, he’s recorded 547 yards with 2 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 87 pass attempts.
White was benched prior to the game against the Miami Dolphins last week. Joe Flacco drew the start, throwing for 291 yards and 2 touchdowns in a loss.
I don’t expect any Jets quarterback to find much success in this game, although they offer varying amounts of upside if New York finds their ceiling this weekend.
Jets vs. Texans betting trends
The Jets have been the worst team against the spread (ATS) in the NFL this season, covering in only 20% of their games. They’re failing to cover the spread by an average of -6.9 points per game.
The Texans have been neutral ATS, covering in 50% of their contests thus far. With that being said, they’ve covered in three of four games with Tyrod Taylor taking at least 40% of the snaps at quarterback.
New York has quietly found the over in 60% of their outings, although they only rank 27th in the NFL in points per game.
Houston’s found the under in 60% of their contests while ranking last in the league in points per game.
Jets vs. Texans prediction
We have a matchup between two bad offenses against two bad defenses. Both offenses and defenses rank in the bottom five of the NFL in points and points allowed per game. The big difference is the Texans come with some upside when Taylor is healthy and starting. They’re averaging 22.7 points per game when he plays a full contest.
Houston’s defense has also stepped up recently, holding the Dolphins and Titans to 9 and 13 points, respectively, in their last two games.
Overall, there’s very little to be excited about in New York at the moment. There are question marks throughout the Jets’ offense, and they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Texans have flashed on both offense and defense in recent weeks, giving them the edge as small home favorites this weekend.
Jets vs. Texans Prediction: Texans 24, Jets 14