Week 11 Waiver Wire: Rookies Watson, White Lead the Way
NFL Week 11 – We’re still dealing with bye week fill-ins but also looking ahead to the playoff push. Below are some options to consider picking up for Week 11 and/or for your championship push.
- Marcus Mariota – ATL (37.6% rostered ESPN; 33% Yahoo!)
- Mariota has been bad in real life but serviceable for fantasy purposes. While it hasn’t been pretty, he’s QB11 on the season and QB7 in points per game. He has four top-13 finishes over the last six weeks, including two top-6 finishes and three top-10 finishes. He’s the only quarterback among the top 15 who doesn’t have 1,000 passing yards over that span, but his 9 touchdown passes are 10th most. A big part of his value comes on ground. Mariota’s 252 rushing yards since Week 5 are 5th most among quarterbacks and he has one rushing touchdown. Mariota is a viable streamer in Week 11 against the Bears’ 29th ranked defense in DVOA (30th vs. pass, 26th vs. rush), then he has favorable matchups against Washington (20th vs. pass, 2nd vs. rush) and Pittsburgh (18th vs. pass, 7th vs. rush) ahead of Atlanta’s Week 14 bye.
- Davis Mills – HOU (2.6% ESPN; 7% Yahoo!)
- Mills has been a fringe starter in 2QB leagues lately, sitting as QB24 in points per game since Week 7. He’s scored double-digits in three of four and even has a top-10 finish at QB7 in Week 7 against the Raiders. In Week 11, Mills takes on the Commanders 20th ranked pass defense, who are allowing the 12th most points to quarterbacks. Mills is coming off his second 300-yard passing game of the season, with both coming in the last four weeks, and has both Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins back in the lineup. If you need a replacement with several top-flight quarterbacks on bye this week, Mills likely won’t kill you, having scored 14+ in three of his last four.
- Other QB <40% rostered worth considering
- Deshaun Watson – CLE (28.2% ESPN; 37% Yahoo!)
This is the part of the year where we begin looking to the playoffs and acquiring late-season bloomers and running back handcuffs. Below are a couple options who should have larger roles moving forward and one who just became the next man up in his backfield.
- Rachaad White – TB (24.4% rostered ESPN; 45% Yahoo!)
- White’s got his first start of the season and had the best game of his rookie campaign. He ran the ball 22 times for 105 yards while playing 64% of offensive snaps. He matched Leonard Fournette with two carries inside the 10-yard line, but it was Fournette who reached the end zone. It was a little disappointing to see him get 0 targets after receiving 2+ targets in all but one game prior to this weekend, but his 14 routes run were more than double Fournette’s. Fournette did still see 14 carries before being injured, and he’s expected to be ready for their next game after their Week 11 bye. But White’s usage should remain down the stretch, making him a priority add off waivers despite being on bye.
- Isiah Pacheco – KC (23.1% rostered ESPN; 24% Yahoo!)
- Pacheco is the back to own in Kansas City. He received his third straight start in Week 10 and received 59% of the backfield opportunities, handling 16 of the 18 running back carries for 82 yards. He ran only 3 fewer routes than pass-catching back Jerick McKinnon, but received 0 targets to McKinnon’s 8. Pacheco lost a fumble inside the 10-yard line on his second carry of the game but the team stuck with him and voiced confidence in the rookie after the game. Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s snap share has dropped every week since Week 4, down to a season-low 6% in Week 10. Pacheco needs to be rostered ahead of a date with the Chargers’ 29th-ranked rush defense, and the opportunity should remain with the Chiefs likely favored in every game down the stretch.
- Keaontay Ingram – ARI (0.5% rostered ESPN; 1% Yahoo!)
- In a shocking move, the Cardinals released running back Enjo Benjamin on Monday. That makes Keaontay Ingram the backup to James Conner. Conner handled 21 of the 22 running back carries in Week 10 and played 96% of the snaps, so Ingram doesn’t have much short-term value. But Conner has a lengthy injury history and has already missed three games this season. With Benjamin’s release, Ingram is the top backup to Conner and would step into the lead role if he were to miss any more time. Don’t pay up for Ingram, but if you have Conner, or room on your bench, Ingram may be worth rostering.
- Other RB <20% rostered worth considering
- Jaylen Warren – PIT (11.7% ESPN; 26% Yahoo!)
- Isaiah Spiller – LAC (2.4% ESPN; 4% Yahoo!)
- Jerick McKinnon – KC (18.5% ESPN; 16% Yahoo!)
Cooper Kupp has been placed on IR and will officially miss at least the next four weeks, which is devastating news for fantasy owners, Rams fans, and really, football fans, in general. We’ve also got some big name receivers on bye in Week 11: Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Christian Kirk. Below are some options who can not only help out in Week 11 but also for the rest of the season.
- Christian Watson – GB (5.8% ESPN; 9% Yahoo!)
- Watson broke out in a big way in Week 10 with 4 catches for 107 yards and 3 touchdowns. He ran a route on 91% of Aaron Rodgers’ dropbacks, and despite an early drop, Watson’s 8 targets led the team. He saw 74% of the team’s air yards, the highest share in the league in Week 10, and his 164 air yards was behind only Justin Jefferson’s 211. Allen Lazard will remain involved (100% route participation), but Watson could push him for the WR1 role. He is dealing with an ankle injury early this week, and the Packers have a quick turnaround on Thursday. But Watson is worth paying up for on waivers.
- Donovan Peoples-Jones – CLE (21.9% rostered ESPN; 35% Yahoo!)
- This may be the last week Peoples-Jones is rostered in less than 50% of leagues. DPJ was PPR WR31 over the last five weeks prior to Cleveland’s Week 9 bye and he didn’t even reach the end zone once. He was kept out of the end zone again in Week 10, but he led the Browns in targets, receptions, and yards, finishing with 5 catches for 99 yards on 9 targets. He’s now recorded 50+ yards in each of the Browns’ last six games and has eclipsed 70 yards in five of them. The Browns have a tough matchup against the Bills in Week 11, but Kirk Cousins just threw for over 350 yards against Buffalo, and Justin Jefferson had a monster day. There’s room for DPJ to keep producing given his chemistry with Jacoby Brissett, and the looming return of Deshaun Watson will raise his ceiling down the stretch.
- Parris Campbell – IND (23.0% rostered ESPN; 18% Yahoo!)
- Matt Ryan being reinserted at quarterback was a great thing for Parris Campbell. Campbell tied Michael Pittman Jr. for the team lead in targets with 9, receptions with 7, and his 76 receiving yards led the team. He ran a route on 90% of Ryan’s dropbacks compared to Alec Pierce’s 63%, running as the WR2. In the last three games with Ryan under center, Campbell has seen 32 targets (9+ in each game), turning them into 24 catches for 203 yards and scoring a touchdown in each. For comparison, he had 4-58-0 on 7 targets in two games with Sam Ehlinger under center. The Colts have a tough matchup against the Eagles in Week 11, but he’s a viable fill-in with several top WRs on bye.
- Other WR <20% rostered worth considering
- Darius Slayton – NYG (4.6% ESPN; 6% Yahoo!)
- DeAndre Carter – LAC (9.0% ESPN; 30% Yahoo!)
- Julio Jones – TB (22.9% ESPN; 17% Yahoo!)
One draft season breakout candidate has finally broken out and is in line for continued work while another tight end has benefitted from an injury atop the depth chart. Both are worthy starters moving forward.
- Cole Kmet – CHI (38.8% rostered ESPN; 60% Yahoo!)
- Kmet was a popular breakout candidate during draft season but has largely been a disappointment. That is until the last three weeks. Over that span, he’s the PPR TE1 in total fantasy points and TE2 in fantasy points per game. He’s accumulated 11 receptions for 126 yards and 5 touchdowns on 15 targets and is tied for the position lead with 5 red zone targets. He has back-to-back games with 4+ catches and 2 touchdowns and has been top 10 in route participation among tight ends in each. With Justin Fields passing improvement over the last four weeks, Kmet should be rostered and started, especially ahead of a matchup against the lowly Falcons’ 29th-ranked pass defense in Week 11.
- Foster Moreau – LV (12.3% rostered ESPN; 17% Yahoo!)
- Moreau was highlighted hear last week as the Raiders’ TE1 with Darren Waller being placed on IR. He went out and finished as the PPR TE6 for the week with 3 catches for 43 yards and his first touchdown of the season. His 4 targets amounted to just an 11% target share, which was just 19th among tight ends. But he led the positions with 95% route participation for the second time in the last three weeks and was third last week at 87% route participation. He’s also tied for second on the team in targets since then and should continue to receive looks. He faces the Broncos in Week 11, who are 6th defending tight ends, but after that he gets the Seahawks (29th) and Chargers (22nd). If Waller still isn’t ready to return, Moreau would then get the Rams (23rd) in what is the last game of the regular season for many fantasy leagues.
- Other TE <40% rostered worth considering
- Trey McBride – ARI (0.3% rostered ESPN; 0% Yahoo!)
- Juwan Johnson – NO (8.2% rostered ESPN; 12% Yahoo!)