Ultimate magazine theme for WordPress.

Is Greg Dulcich or Robert Tonyan a Waiver Wire Add in Week 7?

After a strong Monday Night Football performance, Greg Dulcich has become an intriguing waiver wire target in Week 7 as fantasy football managers look to try and find a consistent weapon at tight end.

However, we also saw Robert Tonyan put himself in the waiver wire frame for fantasy managers with a huge Week 6 performance. Let’s examine whether fantasy managers should target Dulcich or Tonyan heading into the Week 7 waiver wire.

Should Greg Dulcich or Robert Tonyan Be a Waiver Wire Target in Week 7?

There is a lot to unpack with Dulcich’s performance. Firstly, he played 71 percent of the offensive snaps and finished with a 10.4 fantasy-point performance in non-PPR scoring. However, he was targeted just three times with two receptions, of which one was for 39 yards.

That combination of snaps, targets, and fantasy points puts fantasy managers in a tough spot with Dulcich. The rookie had a splash start to his career, tying for the third-most targets on the team this week. The problem is that, without the touchdown, this would have been an underwhelming performance for a player that plays in a frustrating passing offense for fantasy managers.

Therefore, Dulcich is a deep-league or TE-premium waiver wire target. This performance also puts him in the window as a potential streaming option when facing a nice matchup. That is somewhat the case in Week 7.

The New York Jets are just a middle-of-the-pack group overall, allowing 10 points per game to the tight end position. However, over the last three weeks, they have allowed an average of 13 fantasy points per game, including 15.4 fantasy points to the Packers in Week 6. That has included double-digits in each of the last three weeks.

The Packers’ tight end who benefited from that matchup was Tonyan. He had 90 receiving yards from 10 receptions on 12 targets. He finished with nine fantasy points in non-PPR, 14 in half-PPR, and 19 in full-PPR. Combined with the Packers losing Randall Cobb for the foreseeable future, the performance was an intriguing sign.

Across the first six weeks, Tonyan has caught 84.4 percent of his 32 targets for 219 yards and a touchdown. Prior to this week, the usage was not there to make him a consistent fantasy option. However, if Tonyan can average even seven or eight targets per game, he has a great chance to finish the year as a top-12 TE option.

One limiting factor for Tonyan is how he has been targeted this year. In the four previous years, Tonyan had an average depth of target (ADOT) above 7.5 yards in each season.

However, in 2022, that dropped to an ADOT of 4.4 and 3.3 yards before the catch per reception. That, combined with some after-the-catch struggles (Tonyan averages 1.1 yards below expectation after the catch this year), limits his upside in PPR formats.

To have value in that scoring format, Tonyan needs to find the end zone. Otherwise, his nine fantasy points from Week 6 appear to be a ceiling outcome. In PPR scoring, Tonyan is at least an intriguing option for the Week 7 waiver wire.

A concern for Week 7 is that the Packers face a Washington team that has allowed a league-low 1.8 fantasy points per game to the position in the last three weeks.

How Should Fantasy Managers Prioritize Tonyan and Dulcich on the Week 7 Waiver Wire?

Unless you need a long-term starter at tight end, both Tonyan and Dulcich are risky additions. Dulcich is a deeper streaming option with a matchup against the Jets, but Tonyan’s matchup with the Commanders means he is a tough streaming play, even with the hope of more targets.

Evan Engram appears to have an easier matchup against the Giants. In the last three weeks, they have allowed 15.67 points to the position. However, of the 47 points scored during that period, Mark Andrews and the Ravens had 27.2 of them in Week 6.

Over the long haul, how you view the pairing of Tonyan and Dulcich is scoring-dependent. Tonyan is the top PPR priority add at the position, narrowly ahead of Evan Engram.

Engram and Tonyan should see a solid number of targets going forward, giving them both reasonable PPR value. Tonyan is still somewhat matchup-dependent, so he’s only worth spending around 10 percent of your FAAB budget (or waiver priority) this week.

MORE: Fantasy Football Cut List Week 7

In non-PPR, Dulcich is intriguing. We cannot read too much into his advanced stats and output based on one week, but the 71 percent snap share is at least fascinating. Therefore, if you are looking for a deep-league speculative add, Dulcich should be on the radar as an upside play.

Daniel Bellinger has found the end zone three times this year and sits slightly above Dulcich in the priority. However, neither is worth more than a five percent FAAB share in non-PPR scoring leagues.

Tonyan and Engram provide a safer floor, even in non-PPR. However, Dulcich and Bellinger arguably have more fruitful ceilings. Consequently, who you target depends on how you view your team.

If you want to aim high, Bellinger and Dulcich are the exciting upside options. However, if you are looking for a safer floor, consider shifting Tonyan and Engram atop your list.

Source link